“So I says to the doc, ‘Does this thing look like a bubble to you?”
Apologies for being churlish in the holiday season, but the let-nothing-ye-dismay attitude of the financial markets has me worried. The exuberance feels irrational. Asset bubbles form, remember, when greed overwhelms fear. It’s a truism that bad loans are made in good times when lenders relax their standards. As the American economist Hyman Minsky once put it, stability breeds instability. Investors get edgy when asset prices are down, but they should be more concerned at times like now, when prices have gone up, up, and up. Through Dec. 17 the S&P 500 index has gained 27% this year. The market feels as frothy as the top of a nutmeg cappuccino. “We enter the next decade with interest rates at 5,000-year lows, the largest asset bubble in history, a planet that is heating up,…