Outlook for rate hikes in 2022 – shift to normalisation?
Casey Delport AFTER the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic hit in early 2020, triggering a collapse in global economies and financial markets alike, central banks across the globe responded by rolling out unparalleled stimulus measures. The SA Reserve Bank (SARB) was no different, cutting the repo rate by a cumulative 300 basis points (bpts) in response to the onset of the pandemic. All in all, the extraordinary amount of monetary policy-easing in 2020 supported the economy in its recovery from the depths of the Covid-19- induced slump. Since lowering the repo rate to record lows in 2020, the SARB maintained these highly accommodative monetary policy settings through most of 2021. However, with inflationary pressures mounting and global economic activity having recovered faster than initially expected, the policy challenge for…