SOUTH Africa is poised for economic stagnation this year if there is no improvement in aggregate demand and an increase in investment inflows, Oxford Economics Africa said on Friday.
Although the rand made some recovery last week, “widening fiscal and current account shortfalls will exert depreciatory pressures” going forward, according to a survey by forecaster FocusEconomics, which sees the rand closing this year at R18.48 to the dollar, and ending 2025 at R18.63 to the greenback. Although there was an uptick in retail sales in December, there was also a deterioration in new business output and stocks of purchases, said FocusEconomics, adding that the crisis at South African ports “continued to cause severe shipping delays”, which were impacting business and the economy.
S&P Global senior economist David Owen highlighted that…
