Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago yesterday expressed concern about continuing risks to the inflation rate, but many economists believe the outlook is more positive and could lead to an interest rate cut at the September meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).
In an address to the bank’s annual general meeting yesterday, Kganyago said annual inflation averages that are trending lower hide ongoing volatility in the underlying components of inflation, demonstrating the risks and uncertainty marking the disinflation path.
He said that in line with the global trend, South Africa’s headline inflation decelerated since the pandemic, falling from 6.9% in 2022 to an average 6% in 2023.
However, he said that since September last year, headline inflation had been fluctuating between 5% and 6%, with frequent monthly setbacks coming from…
