South Africa’s electricity crisis has, over time, been rendered intelligible through a narrow explanatory frame. Institutional decay, corruption, administrative failure, and political incompetence have become the dominant interpretive categories through which energy shortfalls are understood. These explanations circulate across policy reports, donor-funded research, NGO commentary, and mainstream media analysis. While not incorrect, they have assumed an explanatory monopoly that obscures deeper structural dynamics.
Matshela Koko’s paper, South Africa’s 2030 Electricity Capacity Cliff: Institutional Frictions, Sociotechnical Inertia, and the Political Economy of Accelerated Coal Phase-Out, intervenes decisively in this discourse. Rather than centring questions of managerial virtue or institutional ethics, the paper situates South Africa’s looming electricity shortfall within the temporal mechanics of capacity withdrawal and replacement. The crisis, in this formulation, is produced by speed, sequencing, and structural constraint rather…