THE FALLACY OF SURVIVORSHIP BIAS
“A stupid decision that works out well becomes a brilliant decision in hindsight.” — Daniel Kahneman It’s a human trait most of us can relate to, one that both inspires dreamers and nourishes path seekers. It’s the age-old story of someone who defies all the odds to come out a winner. They started in a garage, didn’t graduate from college, peddled their product door-to-door, and eventually became industry icons, admired and respected in their field of expertise. Or they overcome physical limitations, poverty, or graduating at the bottom of their class, only to rise like cream to the top of their profession. These are great stories, ones that drive us to hang on a little longer and strive a little harder. And there’s nothing wrong with dreaming “the impossible dream.” Still, a strong argument can…