What started out as a geopolitical problem is now affecting energy markets, transportation systems, fertilizer supply, and, eventually, the price of producing food on a global scale.
According to recent freight market data, the global supply chain is under increasing pressure. Cost pressures are increasing more quickly than the system can handle this, which will ultimately result in high food prices and an increase in food insecurity, particularly in Africa, Asia, and some parts of the Americas.
About 30% of fertilizer, 20% of oil, 25% of liquid nitrogen gas, and 45% of sulphur pass via the Strait of Hormuz. These vital inputs are currently severely blocked. Fertilizer is at the center of the disturbance.
According to World Bank data, fertilizer prices have skyrocketed globally as of March 2026. Diammonium phosphate…